Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Fantasy Football Draft Checklist-Set Position Thresholds

Once you have established the rankings for each position based on your league's scoring system, the next thing you need to do is to determine thresholds at each position.  Thresholds are just a fancy way of saying that you should determine where there is a group of players that you can expect to score similarly and where the drop-offs occur. 

Knowing where the talent drops off at a certain position can be especially useful if you are drafting near either end of your draft.  If you are caught between players at different positions but have determined that you can expect a similar performance out of 3-4 guys at one position and their is a drop off at the other slot you should grab the guy at the bottom of the threshold and know that there will still be a guy that you can live with available when your pick rolls back around. 

The easiest way that I have found to draw these lines is to take my projections, run them through my scoring system and then divide these numbers over sixteen games.  This will give you an idea of a weekly scoring expectation if all things go as planned throughout the season(they won't).  Breaking down the numbers incrementally will allow you to better evaluate actual game by game performances.  Now you have drawn some thin lines that will allow you to more objectively draft players based on the numbers and not the names. 

The next step we will look at will be to know average draft positions of players and understanding what your opponents may be thinking. 

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