All the arguments for delaying your fantasy football draft were solidified Friday night when Cardinals rookie running back and sleeper candidate Ryan Williams suffered a season ending injury. Imagine your frustration if you spent an early pick hoping to latch on to a key cog of your fantasy team. That's just a brief commentary on the value of waiting to hold your draft. For the rest of us we are left with the task of deciding the implications of the injury, and how changed roles will affect our projections.
Many owners will simply elevate Chris "Beanie" Wells on their draft boards. While Wells' value certainly gets a tick, I would warn against blindly penciling him in as your RB2. There will always be value for the primary running back on a team in fantasy football, but the real challenge is to properly evaluate and gauge that value. Let's take a look at what we can reasonably expect from Wells in his, possibly, expanded role.
Wells is coming off a forgettable sophomore season where he saw his rushing yards dip below 400 yards and the injury bug paid him visits throughout the year. Wells has a history of battling lingering injuries dating back to his college days at Ohio State. His rookie campaign where he logged sixteen games was encouraging, but likely an anomaly. In thirteen games last year Wells saw his yards per carry drop over a yard per carry to a paltry 3.4 YPC and he only found the end zone twice.
If you play in a PPR league Wells will be a drag on your team in the receiving game as well. In his brief 29 game career Wells has only hauled in seventeen catches. Even if he claims the starting job outright Wells is not a three down back. Wells' regression, injuries and limited skill set are the exact reasons the Cardinals elected to spend an early draft pick on Williams in the first place!
The biggest factor being missed in this situation is that the Cards will likely look to bolster their backfield by adding another back either via trade or by signing a free agent. It is highly unlikely that Wells is the workhorse the entire year. Guys like Clinton Portis, or Laurence Maroney could be on their radar or they may target younger guys via trade like the Panthers' Mike Goodson or the Patriots' BenJarvus Green-Ellis. Goodson has shown promise in limited action and is the odd man out in a talented and crowded backfield in Carolina. Green-Ellis may be expendable for a Pats team who drafted two running backs in the last draft. While a back like Goodson or Green-Ellis would be best for us fantasy owners, the Cardinals are more likely to pursue a veteran at this point in the off season. If they are convinced that Williams is the back of the future it only stands to cause problems in subsequent years if Arizona trades for another young back to join him and Wells.
I expect the Cards to pursue a vet and employ a RBBC or look to play the hot hand as the game plays out. If you a looking for Wells to suddenly carry your fantasy team to the promised land you will likely be disappointed. Move him up your cheatsheets a little but I still wouldn't target him as anything other than a RB3 or flex option. If you are smart you still have some time for this situation to get worked out before you have to draft your team and work through these decisions. Good luck!
Sunday, August 21, 2011
Thursday, August 18, 2011
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-AFC North
While some teams were very active during the off season other teams made few changes. Here is a look at teams in the AFC North, their new roster and what the changes could mean for your fantasy football prep.
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens-Ray Rice's value got a boost when the Ravens signed fullback Vonta Leach to open holes for him to wiggle through. Rice is already a top five back and this move just solidifies his position as such.
Lee Evans was acquired in a trade with the Bills and he should step right in and start opposite Anquan Boldin. Evans no longer is a fantasy starter but his new setting and role project him as a quality backup and good WR4 option.
Cleveland Browns-The Browns really made no significant moves to affect your fantasy football consideration. Brandon Jackson joins Cleveland and should be in the back of your head if he can win the backup job away from Montario Hardesty and if Peyton Hillis were to get injured.
Cincinnati Bengals-If I have to find something to write about the Bengals and their spot in fantasy football, and it can't be to start your players against them, then I will have to focus on their first round draft pick AJ Green. Green enters the NFL with high expectations and with the departure of Chad Ochocinco the door is wide open for Green to start and contribute. What those contributions amount to remains a major question mark.
The Bengals look to have rookie Andy Dalton starting at quarterback and early indications are that he will be challenged to stay upright and throw the ball to anybody. Green will be overvalued and a trendy pick due to name recognition but I don't expect more than a 55/700/6 type season. If you can grab Green as a reserve go for it, but you will likely have to overpay to have him on your fantasy team this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers-The Steelers signed former Jet Jericho Cotchery last week and he joins a crowded receiving corp. Cotchery could have value as a vet possession receiver if he is able to get on the field regularly. Mike Wallace and Hines Ward are entrenched and will get the primary targets. I wouldn't draft Cotchery, but keep him on a short list of candidates to add should he come out strong early.
AFC North
 |
| Ray Rice |
Lee Evans was acquired in a trade with the Bills and he should step right in and start opposite Anquan Boldin. Evans no longer is a fantasy starter but his new setting and role project him as a quality backup and good WR4 option.
Cleveland Browns-The Browns really made no significant moves to affect your fantasy football consideration. Brandon Jackson joins Cleveland and should be in the back of your head if he can win the backup job away from Montario Hardesty and if Peyton Hillis were to get injured.
Cincinnati Bengals-If I have to find something to write about the Bengals and their spot in fantasy football, and it can't be to start your players against them, then I will have to focus on their first round draft pick AJ Green. Green enters the NFL with high expectations and with the departure of Chad Ochocinco the door is wide open for Green to start and contribute. What those contributions amount to remains a major question mark.
The Bengals look to have rookie Andy Dalton starting at quarterback and early indications are that he will be challenged to stay upright and throw the ball to anybody. Green will be overvalued and a trendy pick due to name recognition but I don't expect more than a 55/700/6 type season. If you can grab Green as a reserve go for it, but you will likely have to overpay to have him on your fantasy team this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers-The Steelers signed former Jet Jericho Cotchery last week and he joins a crowded receiving corp. Cotchery could have value as a vet possession receiver if he is able to get on the field regularly. Mike Wallace and Hines Ward are entrenched and will get the primary targets. I wouldn't draft Cotchery, but keep him on a short list of candidates to add should he come out strong early.
Wednesday, August 17, 2011
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-NFC North
Not a whole lot changed in the NFC North to affect your fantasy football projections. Here is a look at the moves and what they mean.
NFC North
Chicago Bears-The only significant addition that the Bears made was to add former Cowboys back Marion Barber. Barber could have value in deep, scoring leagues and may steal some red zone carries from Matt Forte. His days as an everyday back are past but should Forte go down, you could do worse than an experienced player like Barber.
Detroit Lions-No transactions relevant to fantasy football
Green Bay Packers-No transactions relevant to fantasy football
Minnesota Vikings-Donovan McNabb finds himself on his third team in three years. The Vikes game plan will be to rely on Adrian Peterson and the running game, but McNabb will have to be an effective passer to keep defenses honest. His receivers aren't very impressive, but when has McNabb ever had above average receivers? McNabb is a dependable backup, but don't expect great results.
NFC North
Chicago Bears-The only significant addition that the Bears made was to add former Cowboys back Marion Barber. Barber could have value in deep, scoring leagues and may steal some red zone carries from Matt Forte. His days as an everyday back are past but should Forte go down, you could do worse than an experienced player like Barber.
Detroit Lions-No transactions relevant to fantasy football
Green Bay Packers-No transactions relevant to fantasy football
 |
| Donovan McNabb |
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-AFC South
AFC South
The Texans and Colts enter the 2011 season with very little changes to their roster that will affect your fantasy football choices on draft day. Here is a look at the Jags and Titans and the moves they made.
Jacksonville Jaguars-The Jags saw Mike Sims-Walker leave this off season and now the door is open for another receiver to step and claim a prominent role. Mike Thomas seems like the best candidate to put have a solid fantasy season. If you take the approach that someone has to catch the ball for the Jags then you will want to roll the dice on Thomas and snag him as a WR4 option for your team.
Jason Hill should get the starting nod opposite Thomas but is a long shot to put up quality numbers. Hill's four year cumulative numbers only add up to that of a bottom tier fantasy reserve. I only mention him here as a guy to have on your radar should he demonstrate the ability to perform in his new starting role.
Tennessee Titans-The Titans parted ways with Vince Young and look to start a rebuilding process lead by their first round draft pick Jake Locker. Ideally, Locker will be allowed to sit and learn this season and the Titans signed QB Matt Hasselbeck in hopes of having him mentor Locker. Hasselbeck will not register on fantasy rosters this season, but his presence helps stabilize the offense and will boost the value of Kenny Britt. Britt appears to have avoided a suspension for his off season troubles and if he can keep his nose clean throughout the season he should be a dependable WR2 in most formats. Britt is a big play receiver and has slightly lower value in PPR leagues, but he should turn in 65/1,100/11 numbers this season.
Keep an eye Chris Johnson's holdout and be prepared to give some consideration to Javon Ringer or Jamie Harper should this contract mess drag on. Both have shown flashes and could have fantasy value if they are able to steal a few starts away.
The Texans and Colts enter the 2011 season with very little changes to their roster that will affect your fantasy football choices on draft day. Here is a look at the Jags and Titans and the moves they made.
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| Mike Thomas |
Jason Hill should get the starting nod opposite Thomas but is a long shot to put up quality numbers. Hill's four year cumulative numbers only add up to that of a bottom tier fantasy reserve. I only mention him here as a guy to have on your radar should he demonstrate the ability to perform in his new starting role.
 |
| Kenny Britt |
Keep an eye Chris Johnson's holdout and be prepared to give some consideration to Javon Ringer or Jamie Harper should this contract mess drag on. Both have shown flashes and could have fantasy value if they are able to steal a few starts away.
Tuesday, August 16, 2011
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-NFC East
NFC East
Dallas Cowboys-America's team was quiet on the acquisition front during the off season. The signing of Roy Williams with the Bears just solidifies Dez Bryant's role as the second receiver alongside Miles Austin. Bryant was clearly more talented than Williams but Williams' contract kept him on the field. Bryant finds himself with one less receiver to compete for targets with.
NY Giants-The Giants also did not make any notable acquisitions. Two departures will open up the door for existing players to step up and have a bigger role. Steve Smith was allowed to sign with the Eagles and with his injury would not have been available to contribute early in the season anyway. Mario Manningham expects to have a more prominent role and could eclipse the 1,000 yard mark for the first time in his career. Manningham will be a value as your WR3.
The departure of of Kevin Boss thrusts Travis Beckum in as the starting Giants' tight end. Beckum is not the receiver that the departed Kevin Boss is but he will get the opportunity to step in as the starter this year. Unless he is a real surprise early in the year and proves to be a viable receiver Beckhum doesn't belong on your team.
Philadephia Eagles-The Eagles have made quite a splash in free agency signing several players bolstering their chances at making a deep playoff run and Super Bowl title. Nnamdi Asomugha was the big free agent prize and his presence propels the Eagles defense in to a top five fantasy defense.
The other signings look to have far less fantasy repercussions. Ronnie Brown signed and is a capable backup for LeSean McCoy. McCoy has only missed one game in his first two season, but Brown could be a valuable handcuff pick should McCoy suffer an injury.
The Steve Smith signing will likely have no bearing on your fantasy roster. Even if Smith can recover and get healthy he will have a hard time finding his way on to the field. He finds himself behind DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Jason Avant and possibly Riley Cooper. Should Maclin's mystery illness be serious and the Eagles suffer another injury then Smith may warrant waiver consideration, but otherwise let someone else take the chance.
Washington Redskins-The team once recognized for treating free agency as fantasy football was unusually reasonable this off season. Tim Hightower was acquired and is competing for the starting running back job. He has had a good camp and performed well in the team's first preseason game. If Hightower continues to impress in the preseason games his stock will likely rise beyond a draft position of value for a guy who could lose his starting position at any point. Hightower's history of fumbles and Mike Shanahan's history of turning relative unknowns into 1,000 rushers could spell trouble. However, if Hightower can keep a grasp on the starting job the Skins' quarterback play is not intimidating and they may rely on the running game to maintain ball control and stay in games this year.
Dallas Cowboys-America's team was quiet on the acquisition front during the off season. The signing of Roy Williams with the Bears just solidifies Dez Bryant's role as the second receiver alongside Miles Austin. Bryant was clearly more talented than Williams but Williams' contract kept him on the field. Bryant finds himself with one less receiver to compete for targets with.
NY Giants-The Giants also did not make any notable acquisitions. Two departures will open up the door for existing players to step up and have a bigger role. Steve Smith was allowed to sign with the Eagles and with his injury would not have been available to contribute early in the season anyway. Mario Manningham expects to have a more prominent role and could eclipse the 1,000 yard mark for the first time in his career. Manningham will be a value as your WR3.
The departure of of Kevin Boss thrusts Travis Beckum in as the starting Giants' tight end. Beckum is not the receiver that the departed Kevin Boss is but he will get the opportunity to step in as the starter this year. Unless he is a real surprise early in the year and proves to be a viable receiver Beckhum doesn't belong on your team.
 |
| Nnamdi Asomugha |
The other signings look to have far less fantasy repercussions. Ronnie Brown signed and is a capable backup for LeSean McCoy. McCoy has only missed one game in his first two season, but Brown could be a valuable handcuff pick should McCoy suffer an injury.
The Steve Smith signing will likely have no bearing on your fantasy roster. Even if Smith can recover and get healthy he will have a hard time finding his way on to the field. He finds himself behind DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin, Jason Avant and possibly Riley Cooper. Should Maclin's mystery illness be serious and the Eagles suffer another injury then Smith may warrant waiver consideration, but otherwise let someone else take the chance.
 |
| Tim Hightower |
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-NFC South
Take a look at the fantasy players from the NFC South who will see their role change as result of a new team or the departure of a former teammate.
NFC South
Atlanta Falcons-The Falcons are looking to make a Super Bowl run this year after a playoff loss to the Packers to end their 2010 season. Few changes were made as the Falcons looked to their solid nucleus in place. The only notable addition for the Falcons came via the draft when they traded up to select Julio Jones. Jones should step right in and claim a starting job opposite Roddy White. The Falcons use a balanced attack but they have the ability to air it out with a smart, signal caller in Matt Ryan. Look for Jones to post 65/750/4 and be worthy of a reserve receiver slot on your team.
Carolina Panthers-The overhaul of the Panthers included some major attention to the tight end position. The Panthers haven't had a receiving threat at tight end since Wesley Walls, but now have two possible targets in Jeremy Shockey and Greg Olsen. Olsen looks like the better option early in training camp and he should get plenty of targets for whichever young quarterback ends up under center. Olsen is a quality option for an owner who elects to pass on the top tier of tight ends.
New Orleans Saints-The former #2 overall draft selection Reggie Bush departed for Miami. Bush's talent never translated in to him being a feature back in the NFL, but his versatility allowed him to contribute in a variety of ways. Darren Sproles steps in and should have a similar role to Bush. Sproles is not worth fantasy consideration except in deep, PPR leagues.
The Saints also used the draft to address their revolving door running back situation adding Mark Ingram late in the first round. Ingram has the build to be a feature back, but history suggests he is more likely to share the load. Ingram is regularly being drafted in the third round of drafts and will likely not match that value on the the field this season. I have Ingram slated as a quality RB3 with high upside if he earns the majority of the carries, but with Pierre Thomas, Chris Ivory and Sproles in the mix that is an unlikely scenario.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-The Bucs did not make any fantasy football significant moves this off season. However, by allowing Cadillac Williams to leave the Bucs demonstrated their commitment to LeGarrette Blount as their primary running back. Blount had a surprising 1,000 yard six touchdown rookie campaign and will look to build on that this year. He will no longer fly under the radar, but Blount would make a reliable RB2. Another 1,000 yard season should be attainable and expect him to flirt with double digit TDs.
NFC South
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| Julio Jones |
Carolina Panthers-The overhaul of the Panthers included some major attention to the tight end position. The Panthers haven't had a receiving threat at tight end since Wesley Walls, but now have two possible targets in Jeremy Shockey and Greg Olsen. Olsen looks like the better option early in training camp and he should get plenty of targets for whichever young quarterback ends up under center. Olsen is a quality option for an owner who elects to pass on the top tier of tight ends.
New Orleans Saints-The former #2 overall draft selection Reggie Bush departed for Miami. Bush's talent never translated in to him being a feature back in the NFL, but his versatility allowed him to contribute in a variety of ways. Darren Sproles steps in and should have a similar role to Bush. Sproles is not worth fantasy consideration except in deep, PPR leagues.
The Saints also used the draft to address their revolving door running back situation adding Mark Ingram late in the first round. Ingram has the build to be a feature back, but history suggests he is more likely to share the load. Ingram is regularly being drafted in the third round of drafts and will likely not match that value on the the field this season. I have Ingram slated as a quality RB3 with high upside if he earns the majority of the carries, but with Pierre Thomas, Chris Ivory and Sproles in the mix that is an unlikely scenario.
 |
| LeGarrette Blount |
Monday, August 15, 2011
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-AFC West
Here is a quick rundown on players who are new to the AFC West and may contribute to your fantasy team.
AFC West
Denver Broncos-Willis McGahee enters the Broncos' backfield alongside Knowshon Moreno for new head coach John Fox who is well known for his committment to the run. Moreno has not endeared himself to the team in his time there, but McGahee has a lot miles on his tires and is nothing more than a cheap source of touchdowns at this stage in his career.
The departure of Jabar Gaffney opens the door for Eddie Royal to get more looks. I look for a solid 70/800/6 year from Royal and he will make a solid reserve and bye week fill in for your fantasy team.
Kansas City Chiefs-The Chiefs did not make any notable pick ups in free agency. Steve Breaston was added but appears to be the third receiver behind Dwayne Bowe and rookie Jonathan Baldwin. If Breaston can claim a starting role he would have late round fantasy value, but right now my advice is to pass.
Oakland Raiders-The Raiders added tight end Kevin Boss to replace Zach Miller. Boss is a better blocker and capable receiver, but he is a slight downgrade from Miller in the fantasy world. Boss is a last resort starter but quality backup or by week fill in if the matchup is right.
San Diego Chargers-The Bolts did not have any subtractions or additions of fantasy relevance this offseason.
AFC West
Denver Broncos-Willis McGahee enters the Broncos' backfield alongside Knowshon Moreno for new head coach John Fox who is well known for his committment to the run. Moreno has not endeared himself to the team in his time there, but McGahee has a lot miles on his tires and is nothing more than a cheap source of touchdowns at this stage in his career.
The departure of Jabar Gaffney opens the door for Eddie Royal to get more looks. I look for a solid 70/800/6 year from Royal and he will make a solid reserve and bye week fill in for your fantasy team.
Kansas City Chiefs-The Chiefs did not make any notable pick ups in free agency. Steve Breaston was added but appears to be the third receiver behind Dwayne Bowe and rookie Jonathan Baldwin. If Breaston can claim a starting role he would have late round fantasy value, but right now my advice is to pass.
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| Kevin Boss |
San Diego Chargers-The Bolts did not have any subtractions or additions of fantasy relevance this offseason.
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-AFC East
Here is a look at the players from the AFC East who moved to a new team this off season and their fantasy value.
AFC East
Buffalo Bills-The Bills made a trade this past week sending WR Lee Evans to the Ravens for a draft pick. Evans' numbers had declined since a career year in 2006, and the Bills decided to move another direction with their receivers. The trade solidifies Stevie Johnson's position as the go to receiver for the Bills and opens the door for Roscoe Parrish to step up and claim a starting job. Parrish is still not worthy of a fantasy football roster spot and the biggest impact of Evans being traded may be an increased role for CJ Spiller. Spiller has the skills and versatility to line up in the slot and could see his fantasy value increased especially in PPR leagues. Spiller was drafted as a RB2 last season but had a disappointing season ceding carries to Fred Jackson. Look for the Bills to incorporate Spiller in to a Reggie Bush type role allowing him to get 15 touches per game.
Earlier in free agency the Bills went out and signed former Jets do everything player Brad Smith. Smith's biggest value is in the return game. If you play in an especially deep league or get credit for return yards Smith may be late round flier, but in normal formats he merely a fantasy afterthought.
Miami Dolphins-The Dolphins key acquisition was the addition of RB Reggie Bush. Bush had carved out a niche in New Orleans when he was healthy and hopes to earn more of a feature role in Miami. Don't read too much in to Bush's placement atop the depth chart. The Dolphins drafted Daniel Thomas out of Kansas State in the second round with the intention of having him as their workhorse back. Thomas has the size and build to be a feature back in the NFL, and he will likely end up with many more carries than Bush throughout the season. Project Bush as a reserve running back in PPR leagues and cross your fingers that he can stay healthy.
New England Patriots-It is easy to get caught up in the sound bite that is Chad Ochocinco and overlook the fact that he is not an elite NFL receiver at this stage in his career. While he is certainly entertaining and productive he is not a building block for your fantasy football team. Ochocinco is the latest diva to head to New England in search of a Super Bowl ring and is saying all the right things during camp. His calling card has always been his route running and while that will endear him to Tom Brady, the Pats offense's calling card is spreading the ball around. As the season wears on it remains to be seen how a lack of targets will endear the Pats to Ocho.
For all his antics, Ochocinco has never been in any real trouble and will fall in line with the Patriots in attempting to cap his career off with a ring. If you target him based on production over name recognition then someone else will likely snatch Ochocinco up before you are willing to spend a pick on him. I have him slated as a high end WR3 with the potential to turn in WR2 production. Draft with 70/900/8 projections in mind.
NY Jets-The Jets played receiver roulette allowing Braylon Edwards and Brad Smith to go elsewhere, while signing Plaxico Burress and Derrick Mason as replacements. Burress is already on the sidelines with a sprained ankle after missing the last two years while in jail. Burress has had a nice career and made some big catches and his size makes him a red zone threat but his age and time away from the game have to be considered as well. In his last season with the Giants Burress played in ten games catching 35 balls for 454 yards and 4 TDs. If he were able to play in all 16 games (a long shot) and produce 80% of his 2008 numbers his line is 45/581/5. In other words, not a guy who has a place on your fantasy football team.
Derrick Mason is one of those guys who bring much more value to their NFL team than they do your fantasy football team. Mason is a vet possession receiver who has managed to put together a nice career over a couple of stops, but his days of fantasy relevance of over.
AFC East
 |
| CJ Spiller |
Earlier in free agency the Bills went out and signed former Jets do everything player Brad Smith. Smith's biggest value is in the return game. If you play in an especially deep league or get credit for return yards Smith may be late round flier, but in normal formats he merely a fantasy afterthought.
Miami Dolphins-The Dolphins key acquisition was the addition of RB Reggie Bush. Bush had carved out a niche in New Orleans when he was healthy and hopes to earn more of a feature role in Miami. Don't read too much in to Bush's placement atop the depth chart. The Dolphins drafted Daniel Thomas out of Kansas State in the second round with the intention of having him as their workhorse back. Thomas has the size and build to be a feature back in the NFL, and he will likely end up with many more carries than Bush throughout the season. Project Bush as a reserve running back in PPR leagues and cross your fingers that he can stay healthy.
 |
| Chad Ochocinco |
For all his antics, Ochocinco has never been in any real trouble and will fall in line with the Patriots in attempting to cap his career off with a ring. If you target him based on production over name recognition then someone else will likely snatch Ochocinco up before you are willing to spend a pick on him. I have him slated as a high end WR3 with the potential to turn in WR2 production. Draft with 70/900/8 projections in mind.
NY Jets-The Jets played receiver roulette allowing Braylon Edwards and Brad Smith to go elsewhere, while signing Plaxico Burress and Derrick Mason as replacements. Burress is already on the sidelines with a sprained ankle after missing the last two years while in jail. Burress has had a nice career and made some big catches and his size makes him a red zone threat but his age and time away from the game have to be considered as well. In his last season with the Giants Burress played in ten games catching 35 balls for 454 yards and 4 TDs. If he were able to play in all 16 games (a long shot) and produce 80% of his 2008 numbers his line is 45/581/5. In other words, not a guy who has a place on your fantasy football team.
Derrick Mason is one of those guys who bring much more value to their NFL team than they do your fantasy football team. Mason is a vet possession receiver who has managed to put together a nice career over a couple of stops, but his days of fantasy relevance of over.
Sunday, August 14, 2011
Fantasy Football Movers & Shakers-NFC West
The 2011 NFL off season has been one of the strangest off seasons in history and the repercussions have trickled over in to the world of fantasy football. With free agency and trades taking place on the heels of training camp and even spilling over in to the start of camp, keeping up with all the movement can be challenging. Here is a division by division rundown of all the notable player moves with fantasy football relevance and how the moves effect the player's value.
NFC West
Arizona Cardinals-The Cards accelerated off season saw many fantasy noteworthy players come and go. Arizona hopes to have Kevin Kolb under center and consistently tossing TDs to Larry Fitzgerald for years to come. Kolb is an upgrade for the Cards and is a fringe fantasy starter or high end quality backup. I would approach him with caution and hope to land him as my QB2 and use him as trade bait if he performs up to expectations.
The trade of Tim Hightower thins out a crowded backfield where now Beanie Wells is the undisputed starter. Or is he? The Cards drafted Ryan Williams with the intentions of giving him the opportunity to carry the load. Wells is known to get dinged up and any extended stretch of missed time could mean that he finds himself as Williams' backup. Avoid Wells and consider Williams as a late round flier who could be a solid contributor if he claims the starting role. Arizona's backfield has the looks of a RBBC and you should temper your expectations for either player barring an injury.
Todd Heap is looking to end his career closer to home and joins the Cards as their starting tight end. Heap is a reliable, but unspectacular option. At this stage in this career he is nothing more than a fantasy reserve, but you aren't carrying two tight ends on your roster, are you?!
San Francisco 49ERs-Braylon Edwards joins a Niners team who has several questions with their receivers. Will Michael Crabtree mature and take advantage of all the talent that he possesses? Can Ted Ginn contribute as a wide receiver? Edwards signed a one year deal and will be playing this year for his next contract. Expect him to put up decent WR3 numbers. His background, work ethic and new surroundings will probably result in him being slightly undervalued. If you grab two dependable wideouts early don't feel bad about adding Edwards to round out your starters.
St. Louis Rams-The Rams only notable addition this off season was wide receiver Mike Sims-Walker. Sims-Walker has hauled in seven TDs in each of the last two years and should be a valuable red zone target for Sam Bradford. Consider Sims-Walker a quality backup, but with the Rams' muddled receiver situation he may have a increased role and value.
Seattle Seahawks-The Seahawks added a couple of quality pass catchers and Tavaris Jackson at quarterback. Zach Miller is a quality tight end but his fantasy value will take a hit now that he has left the Raiders' tight end friendly passing game. Miller has the look of a fringe starter or quality backup now that he is a Seahawk.
Sidney Rice flourished with Brett Favre at quarterback after suffering through forgettable seasons with Jackson at QB. But for some reason Rice followed his former Vikings teammate to the Pacific Northwest. Rice's value stands to be as a low end WR2 given his talent, but he could have some disappointing stretches given the possibility of the Seahawk's shaky quarterback play.
NFC West
 |
| Kevin Kolb |
The trade of Tim Hightower thins out a crowded backfield where now Beanie Wells is the undisputed starter. Or is he? The Cards drafted Ryan Williams with the intentions of giving him the opportunity to carry the load. Wells is known to get dinged up and any extended stretch of missed time could mean that he finds himself as Williams' backup. Avoid Wells and consider Williams as a late round flier who could be a solid contributor if he claims the starting role. Arizona's backfield has the looks of a RBBC and you should temper your expectations for either player barring an injury.
Todd Heap is looking to end his career closer to home and joins the Cards as their starting tight end. Heap is a reliable, but unspectacular option. At this stage in this career he is nothing more than a fantasy reserve, but you aren't carrying two tight ends on your roster, are you?!
San Francisco 49ERs-Braylon Edwards joins a Niners team who has several questions with their receivers. Will Michael Crabtree mature and take advantage of all the talent that he possesses? Can Ted Ginn contribute as a wide receiver? Edwards signed a one year deal and will be playing this year for his next contract. Expect him to put up decent WR3 numbers. His background, work ethic and new surroundings will probably result in him being slightly undervalued. If you grab two dependable wideouts early don't feel bad about adding Edwards to round out your starters.
 |
| Mike Sims-Walker |
Seattle Seahawks-The Seahawks added a couple of quality pass catchers and Tavaris Jackson at quarterback. Zach Miller is a quality tight end but his fantasy value will take a hit now that he has left the Raiders' tight end friendly passing game. Miller has the look of a fringe starter or quality backup now that he is a Seahawk.
Sidney Rice flourished with Brett Favre at quarterback after suffering through forgettable seasons with Jackson at QB. But for some reason Rice followed his former Vikings teammate to the Pacific Northwest. Rice's value stands to be as a low end WR2 given his talent, but he could have some disappointing stretches given the possibility of the Seahawk's shaky quarterback play.
Studs & Duds-August 14th
There are only a few weeks left in the baseball season and hopefully you have positioned yourself to make a late season push and climb up the standings. Here is a look at a few players who are hot and can help you and others who it may be time to move on from.
Studs
Don't get bogged down in the dog days of summer and keep an eye on your team from day to day and ride your studies and efforts to a fantasy league title.
Studs
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| MMMM Tastes like another hit! |
How can you not like a guy who licks his bat? The Braves Jose Constanza does just that before his at bats and his recent hot streak has propelled him, at least temporarily, in to a platoon with Jason Heyward in the outfield. Constanza is a career minor leaguer and you can't expect him to keep up at this pace forever, but he has caught fire and is a decent option to put up numbers in all roto categories.
Rays first baseman Casey Kotchman is another player who has been hot of late and could step in and contribute on your fantasy team. In the last two weeks, Kotchman is hitting over .400 with good power numbers. He is in the middle of a series with the Yankees and then faces the Red Sox in the middle of the week, so he will face some formidable pitching but is a able veteran player capable of delivering even in those match ups.
If you haven't already listened to me and added Jeff Nieman you need to. He posted another solid outing this week pitching in to the seventh while only allowing one earned run. Nieman did give up nine hits and only struck out two. His next start comes against the Red Sox who he pitched very well against in July.
Duds
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| Bonifacio is in the midst of a cold streak |
Emilio Bonifacio was a trendy add several weeks back with his ability to hit and swipe bases, but he is very cold lately and now it is time to drop him. Bonifacio is only hitting a little above .200 in the last two weeks. His value is tied to him getting on base and utilizing his speed and when he is not hitting he simply can not produce numbers for your team.
Erick Aybar has been ice cold for the last month now, but for some reason is still owned in nearly every league. Over the last two weeks Aybar is barely hitting over .100 and hasn't driven in a single run. No complicated analysis here...you can find better options, drop Aybar.
Anibal Sanchez was pitching well early in the season, racing out to a 6-1 record but has become very undependable lately. Sanchez has lost his last five decisions and most recently was lifted after less than two innings. He can be a option for strikeouts, but given his shaky performance of late, starting him is a major gamble.
Sunday, August 7, 2011
Studs & Duds-August 8th
Here is a look at the Studs and Duds of fantasy baseball entering the week of August 8th.
If you are looking for a little extra in the power categories then take a look at Indians second baseman Jason Kipnis. His average isn't great but he has five home runs and eight runs and RBI in the last two weeks. Another hot hitter is Jesus Guzman of San Diego. Guzman is very versatile having both SS and 1B eligibility. In the past two weeks he is hitting nearly .400 while registering solid runs and RBIs. Guzman has a little pop and speed making him capable of hitting home runs or swiping the occasional base.
A's pitcher Brandon McCarthy has been very strong lately, picking up up another win in a quality outing on Saturday. He has a tough match up in his next outing against Texas. Keep an eye on McCarthy and see if his resurgence continues against the Rangers who roughed him up earlier in the year. If no one in your league has latched on to Javy Guerra, the current closer for the Dodgers, then grab him now. Guerra was inconsistent when first entrusted with the closer role, but has been steady lately. In his last several appearances he has struck out seven allowing 0 earned runs and tallying four saves.
Danny Espinosa likely made his way onto fantasy rosters due to his ability to provide power and stolen bases, but lately he hasn't done much of anything. A .161 average with no home runs or RBI in the last two weeks have made him expendable. Keep a close eye on him in case he turns it around but right now he belongs on your bench and if you are lacking roster spots it may be time to look elsewhere. A month ago Johnny Damon was in the midst of a great year and belonged in your lineup daily. Lately, Damon has been slumping and there are several better options in the OF.
Trevor Cahill has been wildly inconsistent this season and finds himself currently in one of his bad stretches. He is pitching through an injury on his hand that has begun to give him more trouble. Given his inability to show consistency I suggest you find others options than Cahill. Much was made of the Brewer's renegotiating of Francisco Rodriguez' contract to allow him to close games. The last several weeks suggest that barring a meltdown by John Axford the Brewers intend on using K-Rod as a setup man, therefore meaning he has very little fantasy value. He has not registered a save since joining the Brew Crew.
Be willing to tweak your lineup week to week as we head down the stretch to finish out strong.
If you are looking for a little extra in the power categories then take a look at Indians second baseman Jason Kipnis. His average isn't great but he has five home runs and eight runs and RBI in the last two weeks. Another hot hitter is Jesus Guzman of San Diego. Guzman is very versatile having both SS and 1B eligibility. In the past two weeks he is hitting nearly .400 while registering solid runs and RBIs. Guzman has a little pop and speed making him capable of hitting home runs or swiping the occasional base.
A's pitcher Brandon McCarthy has been very strong lately, picking up up another win in a quality outing on Saturday. He has a tough match up in his next outing against Texas. Keep an eye on McCarthy and see if his resurgence continues against the Rangers who roughed him up earlier in the year. If no one in your league has latched on to Javy Guerra, the current closer for the Dodgers, then grab him now. Guerra was inconsistent when first entrusted with the closer role, but has been steady lately. In his last several appearances he has struck out seven allowing 0 earned runs and tallying four saves.
Danny Espinosa likely made his way onto fantasy rosters due to his ability to provide power and stolen bases, but lately he hasn't done much of anything. A .161 average with no home runs or RBI in the last two weeks have made him expendable. Keep a close eye on him in case he turns it around but right now he belongs on your bench and if you are lacking roster spots it may be time to look elsewhere. A month ago Johnny Damon was in the midst of a great year and belonged in your lineup daily. Lately, Damon has been slumping and there are several better options in the OF.
Trevor Cahill has been wildly inconsistent this season and finds himself currently in one of his bad stretches. He is pitching through an injury on his hand that has begun to give him more trouble. Given his inability to show consistency I suggest you find others options than Cahill. Much was made of the Brewer's renegotiating of Francisco Rodriguez' contract to allow him to close games. The last several weeks suggest that barring a meltdown by John Axford the Brewers intend on using K-Rod as a setup man, therefore meaning he has very little fantasy value. He has not registered a save since joining the Brew Crew.
Be willing to tweak your lineup week to week as we head down the stretch to finish out strong.
Friday, August 5, 2011
NFC East-Fantasy Football Do's & Don'ts
Most of the key free agents have found homes and the season is starting to come in to focus. We are less than a week from the first preseason games. Here is a look at the NFC East's notable fantasy players.
Dallas Cowboys
Tony Romo was off to a great start before his season ended in Week 7 of 2010. Romo finds himself at a crossroads on an inpatient team with annual high expectations. I expect a solid bounce back and see Romo as a high second tier fantasy QB. If you miss out on the studs while stocking up on backs and receivers you can still grab Romo and round out your starters and walk away happy.
Marion Barber is gone and Felix Jones inherits the starting job in the backfield for the Cowboys. The bad news is that the backfield is still crowded with the talented Tashard Choice and rookie Demarco Murray. Jones should get the majority of the carries, but not enough to make him a star running back. Project Jones as a low RB2 with a little upswing in PPR leagues. Choice and Murray are deep league fliers or injury insurance but should be on your radar as serviceable fantasy backs if given the opportunity.
The Cowboy's receiving corp is anchored by Miles Austin and Dez Bryant. Austin is a top flight receiver with Romo under center. He should put up 80/1,300/10 stats. If Bryant can keep his head level he has the talent to replicate Austin's numbers. He should be good for a solid WR2. The Cowboys have a litany of offensive weapons for Romo to spread the ball around to. His favorite option is tight end Jason Witten. Witten is a top option at tight end. If you play in a PPR league he may well be the top option. He could approach 100 grabs with 1,000 yards and ten TDs.
NY Giants
The Giants are lead by the other Manning at quarterback. Eli is not nearly as talented as his brother but can be useful in fantasy football in small stretches. Eli is a good QB2 or has potential value when rotating two QBs based on match up. Manning is nothing flashy, but you can pencil in a middle of the road stat line and rest easy.
Ahmad Bradshaw shopped his services around then elected to resign with the Giants. Bradshaw pairs with Brandon Jacobs to form a dependable backfield. Both players have value in fantasy football. Bradshaw is the higher rated player but because of the timeshare only projects to be a solid RB2. Jacobs is more valuable in TD leagues and is a quality reserve.
Hakeem Nicks enters his third season with the opportunity to not only breakout, but to catapult to top five status. He posseses the skill and ability to take any reception to the end zone for a touchdown. Nicks is a trendy receiver pick so he is likely to be overvalued on draft day. If you can get him for value grab him as a solid WR1, but don't reach and overpay. I have a terribly hard time getting excited about Mario Manningham. He is wildly inconsistent. Last year he posted five 100+ yard games but also turned in six games of less than 60 yards receiving. He did manage to get 9 TDs and has fantasy value as a WR3-4, but play your match ups carefully.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Dream Team...OK maybe not, but they do have several key fantasy players on their team. Michael Vick headlines the team and is the ultimate boom or bust pick. He can take over a game as he did last season against Washington when he accounted for over 400 yards and six TDs. He doesn't come without a considerable risk, however. Vick's ability to get outside the pocket and run also make him susceptible to injury. He is a top tier QB now, but make sure you grab your backup quicker than you might with other top signal callers.
Lesean McCoy is a PPR machine capable of being a top five back. I expect nearly 2,800 total yards and 13 TDs out of a solid mid first round pick. Vet Ronnie Brown signed with the Eagles and is decent backup if you are in a position to handcuff a McCoy draft pick.
The Eagles have two elite receivers in DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin, but their talents being on the same team manages to slightly drag each other's value down. Both guys enter the season with questions swirling about them. Jackson is a top 10 receiver who has the talent to be a WR1. He is holding out of camp and will likely show some rust early in the season due to the lack of reps. Maclin has been held out of camp and is said to be visibly lighter than last year. The Eagles are not disclosing his illness. When healthy Maclin is a good WR2. Monitor both situations throughout camp and draft accordingly.
The emergence of Vick came at the expense of tight end Brent Celek. Celek caught far fewer passes for nearly 500 less yards while having his TD total slashed in half. He is not worth a starting spot and can not be counted on from week to week with the Eagles' new offensive focus.
Washington Redskins
How is it that the team that used to treat free agency like a fantasy football draft barely has any guys worth fantasy consideration? The Redskins have unanswered questions at all the skill positions. The QB situation is unsettled, and will not stabilize the team this season. Ryan Torain came up big last year when he stepped in to the starting role...then he proceeded to get injured. His inconsistency and Mike Shanahan's commitment to drive fantasy owners crazy are enough to lead me to stay away. The Skins picked up Tim Hightower and he expects to have a shot at the claiming the starting job. Torain and Hightower are worth a RB3-4 slot on your team and if one guy manages to claim the majority of the snaps may have starter value. Rookie Roy Helu is in the mix and will likely be picked late in deep leagues, but joins in a congested backfield with value that is yet to be determined.
Not surprisingly the Redskins' top receiver is only worth fantasy team consideration as a reserve. Santana Moss is a dependable, not spectacular reserve. He is a solid by week fill in. You will get consistent stats but rarely an offensive explosion or difference maker. Anthony Armstrong is not as solid as Moss but has more upside. He can be claimed later and will make a good late round flier. Chris Cooley is a low end starting tight end. He will not put up great numbers but could be the beneficiary of an abbreviated off season and shaky quarterbacking situation and be the target of check downs on a weekly basis.
Dallas Cowboys
 |
| Romo looks to bounce back from a season ending injury |
Marion Barber is gone and Felix Jones inherits the starting job in the backfield for the Cowboys. The bad news is that the backfield is still crowded with the talented Tashard Choice and rookie Demarco Murray. Jones should get the majority of the carries, but not enough to make him a star running back. Project Jones as a low RB2 with a little upswing in PPR leagues. Choice and Murray are deep league fliers or injury insurance but should be on your radar as serviceable fantasy backs if given the opportunity.
The Cowboy's receiving corp is anchored by Miles Austin and Dez Bryant. Austin is a top flight receiver with Romo under center. He should put up 80/1,300/10 stats. If Bryant can keep his head level he has the talent to replicate Austin's numbers. He should be good for a solid WR2. The Cowboys have a litany of offensive weapons for Romo to spread the ball around to. His favorite option is tight end Jason Witten. Witten is a top option at tight end. If you play in a PPR league he may well be the top option. He could approach 100 grabs with 1,000 yards and ten TDs.
NY Giants
The Giants are lead by the other Manning at quarterback. Eli is not nearly as talented as his brother but can be useful in fantasy football in small stretches. Eli is a good QB2 or has potential value when rotating two QBs based on match up. Manning is nothing flashy, but you can pencil in a middle of the road stat line and rest easy.
Ahmad Bradshaw shopped his services around then elected to resign with the Giants. Bradshaw pairs with Brandon Jacobs to form a dependable backfield. Both players have value in fantasy football. Bradshaw is the higher rated player but because of the timeshare only projects to be a solid RB2. Jacobs is more valuable in TD leagues and is a quality reserve.
Philadelphia Eagles
 |
| #1 QB or #1 Risk...YES! |
Lesean McCoy is a PPR machine capable of being a top five back. I expect nearly 2,800 total yards and 13 TDs out of a solid mid first round pick. Vet Ronnie Brown signed with the Eagles and is decent backup if you are in a position to handcuff a McCoy draft pick.
The Eagles have two elite receivers in DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin, but their talents being on the same team manages to slightly drag each other's value down. Both guys enter the season with questions swirling about them. Jackson is a top 10 receiver who has the talent to be a WR1. He is holding out of camp and will likely show some rust early in the season due to the lack of reps. Maclin has been held out of camp and is said to be visibly lighter than last year. The Eagles are not disclosing his illness. When healthy Maclin is a good WR2. Monitor both situations throughout camp and draft accordingly.
The emergence of Vick came at the expense of tight end Brent Celek. Celek caught far fewer passes for nearly 500 less yards while having his TD total slashed in half. He is not worth a starting spot and can not be counted on from week to week with the Eagles' new offensive focus.
Washington Redskins
How is it that the team that used to treat free agency like a fantasy football draft barely has any guys worth fantasy consideration? The Redskins have unanswered questions at all the skill positions. The QB situation is unsettled, and will not stabilize the team this season. Ryan Torain came up big last year when he stepped in to the starting role...then he proceeded to get injured. His inconsistency and Mike Shanahan's commitment to drive fantasy owners crazy are enough to lead me to stay away. The Skins picked up Tim Hightower and he expects to have a shot at the claiming the starting job. Torain and Hightower are worth a RB3-4 slot on your team and if one guy manages to claim the majority of the snaps may have starter value. Rookie Roy Helu is in the mix and will likely be picked late in deep leagues, but joins in a congested backfield with value that is yet to be determined.
 |
| Serviceable not spectacular |
Monday, August 1, 2011
NFC South-Fantasy Football Do's & Don'ts
If you were crazy enough to have your player rankings started before the start of free agency and training camp, I hope you at least had the foresight to use a pencil. Much has changed in the last week. Here is a trip around the NFC South and the players who should be on your fantasy football radar.
Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons are coming off a playoff loss to the eventual Super Bowl champ Green Bay Packers and are looking to build off the solid run they had last year. The team feels that all the pieces are in place to win now and made a big splash in drafting wide receiver Julio Jones giving Matt Ryan another weapon to throw to. Ryan is a low end starting fantasy QB with some upside if he takes his game up a notch. He has shown flashes but has not established himself as an every week starter. He is one of those QBs you draft a little late but then backup with your QB2 fairly quickly. I anticipate a step forward in 2011 with a 4,000/30 season possible. If you miss out on the top tier QBs, Ryan is as close a thing to a low risk, sure thing as you will find.
Michael Turner rebounded from an injury to put up solid 1,371/12 season in 2010. Turner confirmed last week that he had off season groin surgery, but he expects no problems or setbacks. But then again, what did you think he would say? I would proceed with caution with Turner. He has logged over 300 carries in the two of the last three seasons, with the third being limited to eleven games due to injuries. His carries were limited early in his career when he backed up LaDanian Tomlinson in San Diego, but you can not minimize the effect of so many carries on a back. He has the offensive line and talent to pile up solid numbers reminiscent of last year, but he will need to show in the preseason that he is completely healthy and ready to again shoulder the load for the Falcons. I see him as a low end RB1 or a high RB2.
If rookie Julio Jones is able to live up to the hype the Falcons will have one of the top receiving corps in the NFL. Jones will likely be overvalued on draft day due to name recognition and preseason hype so don't get sucked in and overpay. I see Jones as a WR3, but early in the season he may struggle to put up solid numbers. Fortunately, Jones will have Roddy White to draw the attention and coverage from him. White is a top end WR1 after tallying 115/1,389/10 numbers last year. Expect similar numbers from White in 2011 as the Falcons have all the pieces of a very potent offense in place. Tony Gonzalez's reception total was his lowest since 2002. I am not alone in having a soft spot for Gonzalez having rode his early career production to fantasy titles over the years, but he is simply no longer the player he once was. If you insist on drafting him, understand Gonzalez is only worthy as a TE2 at this stage.
Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton should only be drafted in keeper leagues. The Panthers have high hopes for the #1 overall selection, but with the abbreviated offseason, complicated QB position and a new coaching staff Newton will struggle in his rookie campaign.
The Panthers' strength is their running game. Unfortunately their success is as much a product of depth as it is performance. Deangelo Williams shares time with Jonathan Stewart, Mike Goodson and Tyrell Sutton in a very crowded backfield. Fantasy owners would have loved to have seen Williams sign elsewhere opening the door for both he and Stewart to have spotlight positions with their teams. If Williams can stay healthy (he regularly misses some games) he projects as no better than a RB2 with a lot of questions. Stewart will also be drafted but is not without injury questions of his own. Stewart expects to get slightly fewer carries than Williams and is a RB3 or injury flier at best. Goodson and Sutton are both capable performers but are blocked in a crowded backfield will see very limited action.
Steve Smith has the tools and determination to be an elite receiver, but their are too many questions at the QB position in Carolina. If you can grab Smith as a low end WR2 or high WR3 do so, but remember much of his value will be tied to who is charged with getting the ball to him. Brandon LaFell and David Gettis are the other receivers for the Panthers and do not deserve fantasy consideration until they can prove their ability to consistently contribute. Greg Olsen joins the Panthers after a trade from the Bears and is known for his ability to get down the field. Olsen has low TE1 projections with a good upside.
New Orleans Saints
Five straight years of at least 4,300 yards and 26 touchdowns; that's all Drew Brees has done. Brees is poised for another great year as the Saints have a solid set of skill players. Brees belongs in that top tier of QBs along with Rodgers and Brady. There is no reason to think that Brees won't put up the same type numbers he has enjoyed over the past several years in New Orleans.
Reggie Bush never was your typical workhorse type back and has moved on to Miami. The Saints are set to turn the majority of the carries over to rookie Mark Ingram. Ingram stands to be the beneficiary of the Saints spread offense that will open a lot of holes for him to run through. Ingram rates as a solid RB2 choice with upside. Pierre Thomas seems to have missed his opportunity to be the primary back and now is relegated to spot duty and only has value as a late flier pick or as an injury replacement.
Several wide receivers have value in the Saints' high power offense. Marques Colston is a solid WR1 option and is capable of carrying a fantasy team. Colston is a big red zone target and should be good for a 75/1,100/8 season. Lance Moore resigned with the Saints and will pair up with Robert Meachem as the other wideouts. The Saints offense will frustrate you from week to week with a different hot receiver. Colston is the most consistent of the trio but the other two make good matchup plays or bye week fill ins.
With Jeremy Shockey no longer in town, Jimmy Graham steps in and figures to be the Saints starter at tight end. Graham has good sleeper potential as a solid receiver on an explosive team. Graham put up modest numbers last year in limited action, but is a strong breakout candidate in 2011. I would feel comfortable having Graham as my starting tight end.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Josh Freeman was a breakout player at quarterback last year and should only get better. If he can modestly build on last year's numbers Freeman projects as low end every week starter this year. You are best served using Freeman in a platoon setup where you play the better matchup from week to week.
The Bucs were full of surprises last year and LeGarrette Blount was a second half savior for many owners. With Cadillac Williams out of the picture Blount catapults to a dependable RB2 who should have little competition in the backfield. Another 1,000 yard with double digit TDs could be in order for his sophomore campaign.
Mike Williams (the other one) is the go to receiver in Tampa. As he continues to build a rapport with Freeman, Williams' numbers should improve. He was a TD machine last year, hauling in 11 catches for TDs. Grab Williams as a high end WR2 and you will be happy as he grows in his role. Arrelious Benn is said to be healthy and is a late round pickup who you can stash away on your bench to see how he performs. Kellen Winslow has to be mentioned but is inconsistent and is a reserve or injury fill in at best.
We are over half the way through looking around the league. Keep checking back for more updates and insights as you prep for your fantasy football draft.
Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons are coming off a playoff loss to the eventual Super Bowl champ Green Bay Packers and are looking to build off the solid run they had last year. The team feels that all the pieces are in place to win now and made a big splash in drafting wide receiver Julio Jones giving Matt Ryan another weapon to throw to. Ryan is a low end starting fantasy QB with some upside if he takes his game up a notch. He has shown flashes but has not established himself as an every week starter. He is one of those QBs you draft a little late but then backup with your QB2 fairly quickly. I anticipate a step forward in 2011 with a 4,000/30 season possible. If you miss out on the top tier QBs, Ryan is as close a thing to a low risk, sure thing as you will find.
Michael Turner rebounded from an injury to put up solid 1,371/12 season in 2010. Turner confirmed last week that he had off season groin surgery, but he expects no problems or setbacks. But then again, what did you think he would say? I would proceed with caution with Turner. He has logged over 300 carries in the two of the last three seasons, with the third being limited to eleven games due to injuries. His carries were limited early in his career when he backed up LaDanian Tomlinson in San Diego, but you can not minimize the effect of so many carries on a back. He has the offensive line and talent to pile up solid numbers reminiscent of last year, but he will need to show in the preseason that he is completely healthy and ready to again shoulder the load for the Falcons. I see him as a low end RB1 or a high RB2.
 |
| Roddy White is a top 3 fantasy wideout |
Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton should only be drafted in keeper leagues. The Panthers have high hopes for the #1 overall selection, but with the abbreviated offseason, complicated QB position and a new coaching staff Newton will struggle in his rookie campaign.
The Panthers' strength is their running game. Unfortunately their success is as much a product of depth as it is performance. Deangelo Williams shares time with Jonathan Stewart, Mike Goodson and Tyrell Sutton in a very crowded backfield. Fantasy owners would have loved to have seen Williams sign elsewhere opening the door for both he and Stewart to have spotlight positions with their teams. If Williams can stay healthy (he regularly misses some games) he projects as no better than a RB2 with a lot of questions. Stewart will also be drafted but is not without injury questions of his own. Stewart expects to get slightly fewer carries than Williams and is a RB3 or injury flier at best. Goodson and Sutton are both capable performers but are blocked in a crowded backfield will see very limited action.
New Orleans Saints
Reggie Bush never was your typical workhorse type back and has moved on to Miami. The Saints are set to turn the majority of the carries over to rookie Mark Ingram. Ingram stands to be the beneficiary of the Saints spread offense that will open a lot of holes for him to run through. Ingram rates as a solid RB2 choice with upside. Pierre Thomas seems to have missed his opportunity to be the primary back and now is relegated to spot duty and only has value as a late flier pick or as an injury replacement.
Several wide receivers have value in the Saints' high power offense. Marques Colston is a solid WR1 option and is capable of carrying a fantasy team. Colston is a big red zone target and should be good for a 75/1,100/8 season. Lance Moore resigned with the Saints and will pair up with Robert Meachem as the other wideouts. The Saints offense will frustrate you from week to week with a different hot receiver. Colston is the most consistent of the trio but the other two make good matchup plays or bye week fill ins.
With Jeremy Shockey no longer in town, Jimmy Graham steps in and figures to be the Saints starter at tight end. Graham has good sleeper potential as a solid receiver on an explosive team. Graham put up modest numbers last year in limited action, but is a strong breakout candidate in 2011. I would feel comfortable having Graham as my starting tight end.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Josh Freeman was a breakout player at quarterback last year and should only get better. If he can modestly build on last year's numbers Freeman projects as low end every week starter this year. You are best served using Freeman in a platoon setup where you play the better matchup from week to week.
Mike Williams (the other one) is the go to receiver in Tampa. As he continues to build a rapport with Freeman, Williams' numbers should improve. He was a TD machine last year, hauling in 11 catches for TDs. Grab Williams as a high end WR2 and you will be happy as he grows in his role. Arrelious Benn is said to be healthy and is a late round pickup who you can stash away on your bench to see how he performs. Kellen Winslow has to be mentioned but is inconsistent and is a reserve or injury fill in at best.
We are over half the way through looking around the league. Keep checking back for more updates and insights as you prep for your fantasy football draft.
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